The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrow 27.1%
Draw 28.1%
Chesterfield 44.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
26.7%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
26%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Barrow - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 7. Jackson B. 2. MacDonald A. 6. Canavan N. (C) 3. Shipley L. 23. Mahoney C. 4. Williams M. 45. Harper R. 11. Newby E. 33. Rose D. 25. Gordon J.
23. Boot R. (G) 29. Curtis S. 6. McFadzean K. 26. Swinkels S. 2. Owolabi-Belewu M. 36. Braybrooke S. 8. Stirk R. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. (C) 28. Berry-McNally J. 25. Dickson W.
Substitutes
20. Fletcher I. 19. Malcolm J. 14. McCann C. 8. Smith S. 34. Whitfield B. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)
10. Bonis L. 17. Dobra A. 44. Donacien J. 11. Duffy D. 13. Fleck J. 1. Hemming Z. (G) 24. Markanday D.
Coaches
Foley S.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Stirk R. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
18', Curtis S. 🟨,
45+2', McFadzean K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dickson W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
55', Gordon J. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
58', Rose D. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Berry-McNally J. ⚽,
64', Canavan N. ↓, McCann C. ↑,
72', Mandeville L. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
73', Curtis S. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
82', Mahoney C. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
82', Newby E. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
83', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
89', McCann C. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Chesterfield might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Injury)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Raglan C.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Gordon L.
(Injury)
Grigg W.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Newby E.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F.
(Inactive)
Pearce T.
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Chesterfield: 9.07%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Chesterfield
10
4
3
3
17:14
3
15
Last Results with these Odds
Barrow - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.76%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Chesterfield - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.58%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Stanway W. (G) 
Canavan N. (C) 
Williams M. 
Swinkels S. 
Owolabi-Belewu M. 
McCann C. 
Dobra A. 
Donacien J. 
Fleck J. 
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