The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 35.6%
Draw 26.4%
Walsall 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
26.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
25.9%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Swindon Town - Walsall Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 17th and 6th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
Swindon has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Walsall has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Swindon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Swindon has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:25 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Swindon against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 17:14 goals (averaging 1.9:1.6 per game).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Walsall: 3.15% Swindon: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Walsall
9
3
6
0
12:6
6
15
17
Swindon
10
3
2
5
9:14
-5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Swindon Town - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.03%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Walsall - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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