The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 34.5%
Draw 26.8%
Walsall 38.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36%
26.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
26.1%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Swindon Town - Walsall Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 6. Ball J. 5. Negru S. 8. Clarke O. (C) 2. Clark M. 25. Thomson J. 27. Munda A. 34. Kirkman B. 15. Hungbo J. 29. Hackford A. 23. Drinan A.
1. Ward J. (G) 25. Skura D. 4. Connolly J. (C) 26. Leak R. 3. Hancock M. 6. Sprangler S. 15. Moore I. 17. Clarke C. 7. Sodje T. 11. Smith R. 19. Pressley A.
Substitutes
21. Majekodunmi K. 39. Millard L. 7. Nichols T. 22. Pearman J. 19. Snowdon J. 24. Virtue M. 12. Ward L. (G)
37. Adomah A. 22. Ahui E. 8. Crew C. 9. Dallas A. 29. Furlong J. 10. Simper L. 31. Wooster T. (G)
Coaches
Holloway I.
Grant L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Drinan A. ⚽, Negru S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leak R. ↓, Ahui E. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Sodje T. ⚽,
59', Grant L. 🟨,
61', Hackford A. ↓, Millard L. ↑,
61', Hungbo J. ↓, Virtue M. ↑,
62', Clarke O. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
69', Moore I. ↓, Crew C. ↑,
76', Munda A. ↓, Pearman J. ↑,
77', Ball J. 🟨,
80', Ball J. ↓, Majekodunmi K. ↑,
81', Clarke C. ↓, Simper L. ↑,
81', Hancock M. ↓, Furlong J. ↑,
85', Sodje T. ↓, Dallas A. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 17th and 6th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
Swindon is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Walsall has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Swindon could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Swindon: Holman F.
(Inactive)
Kilkenny G.
(Inactive)
McGregor J.
(Injury)
Middlemas B.
(Inactive)
Palmer O.
(Inactive)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Walsall: Pattison A.
(Inactive)
Williams H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Swindon: Glatzel P.
(Inactive)
Tafazolli R.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Walsall: Dixon R.
(Inactive)
Evans A.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Swindon has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:25 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Swindon against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 17:14 goals (averaging 1.9:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Walsall
12
4
7
1
18:11
7
19
15
Swindon
13
4
4
5
13:16
-3
16
Outrights of English League Two for now
Walsall: 5.39% Swindon: 1.43%
Last Results with these Odds
Swindon Town - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.03%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Walsall - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Ripley C. (G) 
Negru S. 
Clark M. 
Thomson J. 
Drinan A. 
Sprangler S. 
Clarke C. 
Majekodunmi K. 
Adomah A. 
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