Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 2

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni (Posadas)


	Bartolomé Mitre		Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.6
	2.1	2.72	3.7
	1.69	2.98	5.16
	1.61	3.41	6.21	Watch
	1.69	3.02	5.72
	1.64	3.45	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.64)	3.16 ↓ (3.45)	5.02 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bartolomé Mitre
52.9%

Draw
28.9%

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

25.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bartolomé Mitre will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Def Belgrano VR will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Def Belgrano VR (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Def Belgrano VR (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Bartolomé Mitre (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bartolomé Mitre (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Def Belgrano VR (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bachke G. (G) 4. Barrientos M. 3. Delvalle C. 9. Donato M. 8. Esquivel L. 2. Medeiro E. 7. Melgarejo G. 5. Morales L. 6. Rodriguez R. 10. Sarza K. 11. Valsangiacomo I.	1. Alcorcel A. (G) 5. Alric F. 8. Cartechini J. 6. Gay F. 2. Hertel L. 4. Nunez L. 9. Olego F. 11. Olego M. 7. Perez L. 10. Principiano L. 3. Tomino J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Principiano L. 🟨,
24', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Olego F. ⚽,
79', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Esquivel L. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Mercado E. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Bartolomé Mitre is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Def Belgrano VR has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bartolomé Mitre is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Crucero del Norte	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Juventud Antoniana - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Sol de América de Formosa	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Bartolomé Mitre	0:0 ✺
23.06.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTTL
- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Ben Hur	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	El Linqueño - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTLWL

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