Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Barwell		Bury Town

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.82
	3.44	3.81	1.81
	3.56	4.03	1.85	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.8
	3.59	3.7	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.5)	3.73 ↑ (3.7)	1.82 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
25.9%

Draw
24.3%

Bury Town
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.8%

24.4%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

24%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Bury Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Barwell - Bury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Page C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 0 - 2, Mauge J. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, Mauge J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Barwell is Relegated to

Barwell has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Bury Town has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bury Town will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Bury Town will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barwell won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bury Town	13	10	1	2	23:15	8	31

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bury Town: 4.92%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
11.04.26	Needham Market - Barwell	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Barwell - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Alvechurch - Barwell	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Barwell - Kettering Town	2:5 ✺
21.03.26	Barwell - Sudbury Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.04.26	Bury Town - Stamford	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Leiston - Bury Town	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Bury Town - Worcester City	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Harborough Town - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Halesowen Town - Bury Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.12.25	Bury Town - Barwell	4:0

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