Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Sport 24 Extra


	Basel		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.2	1.73
	4.55	4.25	1.72
	4.68	4.09	1.73
	4.2	4.2	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.7
	4.57	4.3	1.73
	4.75	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (3.93)	4.13 ↓ (4.32)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
21.4%

Draw
23.1%

Aston Villa
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

21.9%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

21.9%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	8.3%	76.7%

Basel - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 9 - 15%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 46 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 66% – 87.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Aston Villa (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Basel (4.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Aston Villa (votes: 22 - 81.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hitz M. (G) 6. Tsunemoto K. 32. Adjetey J. 24. Daniliuc F. 31. Schmid D. 5. Metinho 22. Leroy L. 14. Bacanin A. 11. Traore B. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 7. Otele P.	40. Bizot M. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. (C) 3. Lindelof V. 12. Digne L. 29. Guessand E. 26. Bogarde L. 24. Onana A. 19. Sancho J. 10. Buendia E. 17. Malen D.
Substitutes
23. Ajeti Al. 26. Barisic A. 17. Broschinski M. 29. Cisse M. 39. Junior Ze 8. Koindredi K. 47. Pfeiffer T. (G) 27. Ruegg K. 21. Salah I. 13. Salvi M. (G) 19. Soticek M. 3. Vouilloz N.	16. Garcia A. 53. Hemmings G. 44. Kamara B. 22. Maatsen I. 7. McGinn J. 95. Oakley R. (G) 27. Rogers M. 8. Tielemans Y. 11. Watkins O. 64. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Magnin L.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Guessand E. ⚽,
17', Cash M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Daniliuc F. ⚽, Shaqiri X. (A),
35', Buendia E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cash M. ↓, Tielemans Y. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Tielemans Y. ⚽, Buendia E. (A),
62', Shaqiri X. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
64', Sancho J. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
64', Onana A. ↓, Kamara B. ↑,
64', Buendia E. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
72', Leroy L. 🟨,
74', Traore B. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
74', Bacanin A. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
79', Malen D. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
80', Otele P. 🟨,
84', Konsa E. 🟨,
85', Leroy L. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
85', Otele P. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
87', McGinn J. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Basel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aston Villa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.

In this match, Aston Villa is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Basel: Kaio Eduardo (Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Mings T. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Guessand E. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
07.12.25	Winterthur - Basel	1:2 ✺
Swiss Cup
04.12.25	Grand-Saconnex - Basel	1:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
30.11.25	Basel - St. Gallen	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Genk - Basel	2:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
23.11.25	Grasshoppers - Basel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWTLT
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
06.12.25	Aston Villa - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	3:4 ✺
30.11.25	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Aston Villa - Young Boys	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
23.11.25	Leeds United - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWWW

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