Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Aston Villa		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.25
	1.5	4.45	6.7
	1.51	4.55	6.72
	1.53	4.36	5.86	Watch
	1.53	4.63	6.96	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.47 ↑ (4.25)	6.5 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
63.7%

Draw
21.5%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.6%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

22%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	3.1%	6.2%

Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (57 of 63 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.23% – 97.73%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 8. Tielemans Y. 44. Kamara B. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 10. Buendia E. 17. Malen D.	31. Johnstone S. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 12. Agbadou E. 15. Mosquera Y. 24. Toti (C) 6. Wolfe D. M. 8. Joao Gomes 7. Andre 27. Bellegarde J. 9. Larsen J. S. 10. Arias J.
Substitutes
6. Barkley R. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 29. Guessand E. 3. Lindelof V. 22. Maatsen I. 24. Onana A. 19. Sancho J. 11. Watkins O.	14. Arokodare T. 3. Bueno H. 4. Bueno S. 23. Chirewa T. 26. Hoever K. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 36. Mane M. 5. Munetsi M. 1. Sa J. (G)
Coaches
Emery U.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Buendia E. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
58', Wolfe D. M. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Kamara B. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
69', Bellegarde J. ↓, Chirewa T. ↑,
75', Malen D. ↓, Onana A. ↑,
75', Tielemans Y. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
76', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
77', Wolfe D. M. ↓, Bueno H. ↑,
77', Mosquera Y. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
80', Arias J. 🟨,
88', Arias J. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
88', Barkley R. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
88', Kamara B. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.

Aston Villa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wolverhampton is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wolverhampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aston Villa is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Mings T. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Bentley D. (Ankle Injury) Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gomes R. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Doherty M. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Aston Villa will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Aston Villa - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 62.07%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Aston Villa - Young Boys	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
23.11.25	Leeds United - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Aston Villa - Bournemouth	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Aston Villa - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Liverpool - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
22.11.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	3:4 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.02.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:0
21.09.24	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1
30.03.24	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0
08.10.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	1:1
06.05.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	1:0
04.01.23	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
02.04.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:1

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