Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	Play Sports 5, RTBF Tipik
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 8
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Japan	Wowow Prime
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Genk		Basel

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.5
	1.92	4	3.75
	1.9	4.01	3.85
	1.93	4.18	3.65
	1.84	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.97)	4.04 ↑ (3.81)	3.7 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
50.6%

Draw
23.6%

Basel
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

25.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	13.5%	18.9%

Genk - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Basel will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 55.3% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Basel (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Genk (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Basel (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 19. Medina Y. 17. Hrosovsky P. 8. Heynen B. (C) 20. Karetsas K. 38. Heymans D. 14. Sor Y. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu	1. Hitz M. (G) 6. Tsunemoto K. 32. Adjetey J. 24. Daniliuc F. 31. Schmid D. (C) 14. Bacanin A. 5. Metinho 11. Traore B. 22. Leroy L. 7. Otele P. 17. Broschinski M.
Substitutes
32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 21. Bangoura I. 23. Bibout A. 99. Erabi J. 44. Kongolo J. 26. Lawal T. (G) 29. Mirisola R. 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 7. Steuckers J. 71. Stevens B. (G) 30. Yokoyama A.	9. Agbonifo J. 23. Ajeti Al. 26. Barisic A. 29. Cisse M. 8. Koindredi K. 27. Ruegg K. 21. Salah I. 13. Salvi M. (G) 10. Shaqiri X. 19. Soticek M. 16. Spycher T. (G) 3. Vouilloz N.
Coaches
Fink T.	Magnin L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽, El Ouahdi Z. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Karetsas K. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sor Y. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Otele P. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
60', Broschinski M. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
60', Leroy L. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
62', Adedeji-Sternberg N. 🟨,
62', Heymans D. 🟨,
75', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
75', Heymans D. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
76', Traore B. 🟨,
78', Tsunemoto K. ↓, Shaqiri X. ↑,
79', Bacanin A. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
86', Smets M. 🟨,
87', Otele P. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
89', Karetsas K. 🟨,
90+1', Medina Y. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
90+4', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,

Preview

Genk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Basel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Genk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Genk: Bangoura I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) El Ouahdi Z. (Shoulder Injury) Ito J. (Knock)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Genk won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Genk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.11.25	Genk - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Gent - Genk	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Braga - Genk	3:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.11.25	Westerlo - Genk	0:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.10.25	Genk - RWDM Brussels	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWWW
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
23.11.25	Grasshoppers - Basel	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Basel - Lugano	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Basel - FCSB	3:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
02.11.25	Young Boys - Basel	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Basel - Zürich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.12.12	Genk - Basel	0:0
04.10.12	Basel - Genk	2:2

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