Match Info

Super League - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel)

Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Basel		Zürich

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.75	5.25	Watch
	1.65	4.2	4.33
	1.52	4.45	5.15
	1.55	4.71	5.52
	1.52	4.77	5.38	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.51	4.5	5.46	Watch
	1.55	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	4.51 ↓ (4.69)	5.14 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
61%

Draw
20.8%

Zürich
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

20.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

19%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Basel - Zürich Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Zürich will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Basel (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Basel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hitz M. (G) 27. Ruegg K. 24. Daniliuc F. 3. Vouilloz N. 31. Schmid D. 22. Leroy L. 28. Kacuri D. 18. Duranville J. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 11. Traore B. 37. Koloto G.	1. Huber S. (G) 22. Kablan C. 2. Kamberi L. (C) 27. Sauter I. 3. Comenencia L. 6. Tsawa C. 7. Krasniqi B. 15. Palacio N. 10. Phaeton M. 29. Reverson D. 11. Emmanuel U.
Substitutes
43. Akahomen M. 14. Bacanin A. 17. Broschinski M. 29. Cisse M. 8. Koindredi K. 21. Salah I. 13. Salvi M. (G) 19. Soticek M. 6. Tsunemoto K.	18. Bangoura M. 25. Brecher Y. (G) 14. Di Giusto N. 48. Ihendu K. 40. Nvendo Ferrier V. 33. Odera D. 38. Reichmuth M. 36. Tchamda A. 35. Vujevic D.
Coaches
Lichtsteiner S.	Hediger D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Sauter I. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Sauter I. ⚽, Di Giusto N. (A),
36', Leroy L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Koloto G. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
58', Duranville J. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
63', Kacuri D. ↓, Bacanin A. ↑,
63', Ruegg K. ↓, Tsunemoto K. ↑,
71', Di Giusto N. ↓, Odera D. ↑,
77', Kablan C. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
82', Traore B. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
85', Reverson D. 🟨,
86', Reverson D. ↓, Nvendo Ferrier V. ↑,
87', Emmanuel U. ↓, Ihendu K. ↑,
88', Comenencia L. 🟨,
89', Nvendo Ferrier V. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Shaqiri X. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 2 - 1, Salah I. ⚽, Bacanin A. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 4.

Basel is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zürich has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zürich has had a series of away games.

In this match, Basel is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Basel: Broschinski M. (Knee Injury) Kaio Eduardo (Injury) Metinho (Injury) Tsunemoto K. (Injury) van Breemen F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Zürich: Keny P. P. (Yellow Cards) Perea J. (Muscle Injury) Stiel J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Basel: Hitz M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Zürich: Sauter I. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Zurich	10	4	2	4	18:22	-4	14
6	Basel	9	4	1	4	17:17	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Basel - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Cup
04.02.26	St. Gallen - Basel	2:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
01.02.26	Basel - Thun	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Basel - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
25.01.26	Zürich - Basel	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Basel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- FC Zürich
Swiss Super League
01.02.26	Young Boys - Zürich	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Zürich - Basel	3:4 ✺
18.01.26	Servette - Zürich	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Zürich	3:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
20.12.25	Thun - Zürich	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
25.01.26	Zürich - Basel	3:4
29.10.25	Basel - Zürich	2:0
12.04.25	Zürich - Basel	0:4
02.02.25	Zürich - Basel	0:1
21.09.24	Basel - Zürich	0:2
30.03.24	Basel - Zürich	2:2
21.01.24	Zürich - Basel	0:0

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