Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports


	Caen		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.1	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.38	3.61	2.17
	3.38	3.61	2.17
	3.1	3.5	2.1
	3.24	3.58	2.11	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.11)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)	2.14 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
29.2%

Draw
26.8%

Auxerre
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Caen - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 92. Coeff A. 91. Ntim E. 29. Thomas R. 23. Autret M. 6. Daubin Q. 61. Traore B. 17. Kyeremeh G. 8. Court Y. 2. Abdi A. 19. Mendy A.	16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 13. Akpa C. 18. Diousse A. 97. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 7. Hein G. 45. Onaiwu A. 19. Aye F.
Substitutes
5. Ben Yousseff S. 3. Bolumbu D. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 97. Diedounne D. 22. Hafid M. 11. Le Bihan M. 18. Mbock H.	6. Agouzoul S. 28. Camara O. 2. Dagba C. 40. De Percin T. (G) 11. Maddy E. 42. Owusu E. 17. Sinayoko L.
Coaches
Furlan J.	Pelissier C.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 0.

Caen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Auxerre in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Auxerre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Caen won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
07.10.23	Rodez - Caen	5:3 ✺
03.10.23	Bordeaux - Caen	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Caen - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
26.09.23	Caen - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Caen - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
07.10.23	Paris FC - Auxerre	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Auxerre - Rodez	3:1 ✺
26.09.23	Auxerre - Annecy	4:0 ✺
23.09.23	Troyes - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Auxerre - Pau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
23.04.22	Caen - Auxerre	1:1
04.12.21	Auxerre - Caen	2:2
01.05.21	Caen - Auxerre	0:0
05.01.21	Auxerre - Caen	1:1
08.11.19	Auxerre - Caen	1:1
19.04.14	Caen - Auxerre	1:0
25.11.13	Auxerre - Caen	3:2

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