Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 2 December 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Antoniotti (Borgo)


	Bastia-Borgo		Red Star

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.53
	4.7	3.75	1.58
	5.4	3.95	1.54
	5.99	4.22	1.55
	5.5	3.7	1.52
	5.75	3.98	1.51	Watch
	5.2	3.9	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↑ (4.23)	3.89 ↑ (3.1)	1.54 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia-Borgo
17%

Draw
23.5%

Red Star
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

29.3%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

26.8%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia-Borgo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	18.5%	66.7%

Bastia Borgo - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Red Star will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Bastia-Borgo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Red Star is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia-Borgo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia-Borgo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
25.11.22	Sedan - Bastia-Borgo	2:1 ✺
11.11.22	Bastia-Borgo - Villefranche	2:3 ✺
04.11.22	Stade Briochin - Bastia-Borgo	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Nîmes - Bastia-Borgo	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Bastia-Borgo - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTLW
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
25.11.22	Red Star - Nancy	1:0 ✺
11.11.22	Concarneau - Red Star	0:0 ✺
07.11.22	Red Star - Dunkerque	4:2 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Valenciennes - Red Star	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
24.10.22	Orleans - Red Star	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
04.03.22	Red Star - Bastia-Borgo	5:2
24.09.21	Bastia-Borgo - Red Star	2:2
10.05.21	Red Star - Bastia-Borgo	2:1
08.01.21	Bastia-Borgo - Red Star	3:1
18.10.19	Bastia-Borgo - Red Star	0:1

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