Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)


	Valenciennes		Red Star

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.3	3.1	2.95
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.28	3.05	2.95
	2.33	3.17	3.07
	2.35	3.2	3.1
	2.26	3.14	2.95
	2.38	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.68)	3.14 ↓ (3.74)	3.02 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
40.1%

Draw
29.3%

Red Star
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valenciennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Valenciennes - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Red Star will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valenciennes: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Red Star could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
22.10.22	Grenoble - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Valenciennes - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Paris FC - Valenciennes	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Valenciennes - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Pau - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWL
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
24.10.22	Orleans - Red Star	0:0 ✺
12.10.22	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1 ✺
30.09.22	Le Puy - Red Star	0:2 ✺
23.09.22	Red Star - Martigues	2:2 ✺
16.09.22	Avranches - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.02.19	Red Star - Valenciennes	1:0
21.09.18	Valenciennes - Red Star	4:1
05.05.17	Valenciennes - Red Star	0:0
09.12.16	Red Star - Valenciennes	2:2
29.01.16	Valenciennes - Red Star	0:0
28.08.15	Red Star - Valenciennes	1:5

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