Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 3

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Sports Max
Germany	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Poland	15:30	Viaplay
Portugal	14:30	Eleven Sports 5
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay


	Bayer Leverkusen		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	10	Watch
				Watch
	1.21	6.75	12.5
	1.25	6.5	11
	1.25	7.09	11.09
	1.18	5.5	10	Watch
	1.23	6.55	11.75	Watch
	1.25	7	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.34)	6.56 ↑ (5.11)	11.05 ↑ (7.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
77%

Draw
14.5%

Darmstadt
8.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.9%

18.3%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

17.9%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayer Leverkusen's performance.

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	2.2%	20%

Bayer Leverkusen - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 9 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 65.7% – 89.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (C) 6. Kossounou O. 4. Tah J. 12. Tapsoba E. 30. Frimpong J. 25. Palacios E. 34. Xhaka G. 20. Grimaldo A. 7. Hofmann J. 10. Wirtz F. 22. Boniface V.	1. Schuhen M. (G) 14. Klarer C. 4. Zimmermann C. 3. Isherwood T. 26. Bader M. 28. Franjic B. 32. Holland F. (C) 15. Nurnberger F. 6. Mehlem M. 29. Vilhelmsson O. 24. Pfeiffer L.
Substitutes
11. Amiri N. 8. Andrich R. 13. Arthur 23. Hlozek A. 17. Kovar M. (G) 18. Mbamba N. 32. Puerta Molano G. A. 2. Stanisic J. 19. Tella N.	13. Behrens M. (G) 23. Gjasula K. 19. Karic E. 11. Kempe T. 5. Maglica M. 38. Riedel C. 8. Schnellhardt F. 27. Skarke T. 10. Stojilkovic F.
Coaches
Alonso X.	Lieberknecht T.

Preview

Bayer in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Darmstadt has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Darmstadt have a series of guest games.

In this match Bayer is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bayer won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
26.08.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	0:3 ✺
19.08.23	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
12.08.23	Teutonia Ottensen - Bayer Leverkusen	0:8 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Bayer Leverkusen - West Ham United	4:0 ✺
02.08.23	Olympique Marseille - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
26.08.23	Darmstadt - Union Berlin	1:4 ✺
20.08.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
14.08.23	Homburg - Darmstadt	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.23	Liverpool - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
29.07.23	Sandhausen - Darmstadt	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
05.04.17	Darmstadt - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2
05.11.16	Bayer Leverkusen - Darmstadt	3:2
13.02.16	Darmstadt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2
12.09.15	Bayer Leverkusen - Darmstadt	0:1

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