Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2024, Thursday

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen)

Referee: Soares Dias A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	RTL
Italy	Sky Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Bayer Leverkusen		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8
	1.38	5	7.75
	1.38	5.2	8.6	Watch
	1.39	5.31	8.32
	1.38	5.31	8.32
	1.36	5	8
	1.42	5.29	8.2
	1.39	5.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.52)	5.16 ↑ (4.45)	8.12 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
69.5%

Draw
18.6%

West Ham United
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

21.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayer Leverkusen's performance.

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.9%	5.1%	8.1%

Bayer Leverkusen - West Ham United Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (86 of 99 users predict this - 86.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 93.52%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Kovar M. (G) 2. Stanisic J. 4. Tah J. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 20. Grimaldo A. 34. Xhaka G. 25. Palacios E. 30. Frimpong J. 10. Wirtz F. 21. Adli A. 14. Schick P.	1. Fabianski L. (G) 5. Coufal V. 15. Mavropanos K. 4. Zouma K. (C) 3. Cresswell A. 7. Ward-Prowse J. 28. Soucek T. 33. Emerson 14. Kudus M. 9. Antonio M. 10. Paqueta L.
Substitutes
8. Andrich R. 13. Arthur 22. Boniface V. 3. Hincapie P. 7. Hofmann J. 1. Hradecky L. (G) 9. Iglesias B. 6. Kossounou O. 36. Lomb N. (G) 32. Puerta G. 19. Tella N.	27. Aguerd N. 49. Anang J. (G) 42. Casey K. 17. Cornet M. 40. Earthy G. 18. Ings D. 2. Johnson B. 55. Knightbridge J. (G) 45. Mubama D. 21. Ogbonna A. 61. Orford L.
Coaches
Alonso X.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Paqueta L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Emerson 🟨,
67', Frimpong J. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
67', Stanisic J. ↓, Hincapie P. ↑,
76', Schick P. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
76', Adli A. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Hofmann J. ⚽,
86', Mavropanos K. ↓, Aguerd N. ↑,
87', Kudus M. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Boniface V. ⚽, Hofmann J. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Bayer in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches West Ham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Bayer is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Tendon Injury) Hlozek A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in West Ham: Alvarez E. (Yellow Cards) Areola A. (Groin Injury) Bowen J. (Hip Injury) Phillips K. (Thigh Injury)

Our prediction for today's Bayer to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bayer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
06.04.24	Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.03.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.03.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Qarabağ Agdam	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW
- West Ham United
English Premier League
06.04.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
02.04.24	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Newcastle United - West Ham United	4:3 ✺
17.03.24	West Ham United - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.03.24	West Ham United - Freiburg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.23	Bayer Leverkusen - West Ham United	4:0

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