Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bayern Munich		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	1.22	8	9	Watch
	1.16	9.5	13.5
	1.23	6.4	12.5	Watch
	1.24	7.5	11.5
	1.24	7.53	10.53	Watch
	1.2	7	9.5	Watch
	1.25	8.31	9.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.12)	7.75 ↓ (10.08)	10.84 ↓ (16.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
78.7%

Draw
12.4%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.7%

9.4%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayern Munich's form might have worsened.

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	8.9%	11.1%

Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 36 - 81.8%). Borussia M will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 70.4% – 93.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -2.5 - Bayern (2.26) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1, 1st Half - Borussia M (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.25 - Borussia M (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Borussia M (4.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Borussia M (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (G) 27. Laimer K. 2. Upamecano D. 3. Kim Min-Jae 20. Bischof T. 6. Kimmich J. (C) 8. Goretzka L. 42. Karl L. 10. Musiala J. 14. Diaz L. 11. Jackson N.	33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 7. Stoger K. 17. Castrop J. 9. Honorat F. 38. Bolin H. 15. Tabakovic H.
Substitutes
49. Cardozo M. 47. Daiber D. 7. Gnabry S. 22. Guerreiro R. 17. Olise M. 45. Pavlovic A. 44. Stanisic J. 4. Tah J. 40. Urbig J. (G)	2. Chiarodia F. C. 5. Friedrich M. 18. Machino S. 36. Mohya W. 10. Neuhaus F. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 8. Sarco A. 26. Ullrich L.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Polanski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Goretzka L. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Laimer K. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Neuer M. ↓, Urbig J. ↑,
55', Reitz R. 🟥,
57', 3 - 0, Musiala J. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Laimer K. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
61', Upamecano D. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
61', Diaz L. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
61', Honorat F. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
61', Tabakovic H. ↓, Chiarodia F. C. ↑,
66', Jackson N. 🟨,
67', Castrop J. ↓, Ullrich L. ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Jackson N. ⚽, Karl L. (A),
81', Kimmich J. ↓, Daiber D. ↑,
84', Bolin H. ↓, Mohya W. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Mohya W. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 5.

Bayern is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Borussia M's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bayern is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Injury) Ito H. (Muscle Injury) Kane H. (Calf Injury) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Borussia M: Engelhardt Y. (Yellow Cards) Hack R. (Muscle Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Takai K. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 39:29. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.1:1.1).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 80.09% B. Monchengladbach: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	14:2	12	10
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
28.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
11.02.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
08.02.26	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
28.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich	0:3
10.05.25	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0
11.01.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich	0:1
03.02.24	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
02.09.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich	1:2
18.02.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich	3:2
27.08.22	Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1

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