Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, Sporty TV, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2, Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Bayern Munich		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	1.06	12	23	Watch
	1.07	13	34
	1.05	13	19	Watch
	1.08	15.68	31.48
	1.00	19.89	66.60	Watch
	1.08	11	23
	1.07	14.4	28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.08)	14.14 ↑ (12.68)	32.15 ↑ (27)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
90.3%

Draw
6.8%

Hamburger SV
3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.9%

7.5%

3.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	6.9%	3.4%

Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Hamburg will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 78.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75, 1st Half - Bayern (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Bayern (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3 - Hamburg (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 27. Laimer K. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 44. Stanisic J. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 7. Gnabry S. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 17. Omari W. 44. Vuskovic L. 22. Soumahoro A. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 21. Remberg N. 24. Capaldo N. (C) 28. Muheim M. 20. Vieira F. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A.
Substitutes
20. Bischof T. 23. Boey S. 8. Goretzka L. 22. Guerreiro R. 11. Jackson N. 42. Karl L. 3. Kim Min-Jae 26. Ulreich S. (G) 40. Urbig J. (G)	45. Balde F. 8. Elfadli D. 9. Glatzel R. 3. Katterbach N. 6. Lokonga A. S. 23. Meffert J. 26. Peretz D. (G) 14. Philippe R. 29. Sahiti E.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
1', Soumahoro A. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Gnabry S. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
9', 2 - 0, Pavlovic A. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
26', 3 - 0, Kane H. (Pen),
27', Upamecano D. 🟨,
29', 4 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Soumahoro A. ↓, Elfadli D. ↑,
46', Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
46', Capaldo N. ↓, Meffert J. ↑,
46', Gnabry S. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
46', Upamecano D. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
62', 5 - 0, Kane H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
64', Guerreiro R. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
64', Kane H. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
76', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
76', Vieira F. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
76', Diaz L. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
86', Muheim M. 🟨,
90+2', Pavlovic A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 5.

Bayern is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hamburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Bayern has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)

There will not play in Hamburg: Gocholeishvili G. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Bayern: Bischof T. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Health problems) Jatta B. (Thigh Injury) Lokonga A. S. (Lacking Match Fitness) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 67:8. (average 3.9:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 39:3. (average 6.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
27.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.08.25	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	6:0 ✺
German Super Cup
16.08.25	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.25	Grasshoppers - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- Hamburger SV
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Hamburger SV - Hannover	1:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.08.25	Hamburger SV - St. Pauli	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Pirmasens - Hamburger SV	1:2 ET ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mallorca - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.08.18	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	1:4
German Bundesliga
10.03.18	Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV	6:0
21.10.17	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	0:1
25.02.17	Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV	8:0
24.09.16	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	0:1
22.01.16	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	1:2
14.08.15	Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV	5:0

Upcoming Matches