Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 4P, Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	10:30	SporTV, SportyNet
Bulgaria	16:30	Nova Sport
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 5
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	See, Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	ZEE5
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	Sky Sport 258
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	19:30	Setanta Sports
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	07:30	FOX One, FOX Sports
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	16:30	Okko Prime, Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	20:30	AIS PLAY
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	NBC, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Augsburg		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	13.00	9.50	1.14	Watch
	10.50	9.25	1.18
	12.50	8.50	1.15	Watch
	15.00	9.60	1.18
	11	9.2	1.2	Watch
	14.00	8.65	1.17
	13.30	9.75	1.16	Watch
	15.00	10.00	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.04 ↑ (9.56)	9.31 ↑ (7.59)	1.17 ↓ (1.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
7.4%

Draw
10.3%

Bayern Munich
82.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

9.9%

12.5%

77.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	5.9%	94.1%

Augsburg - Bayern Munich Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 35. Bah J. 5. Matsima C. 2. Brackelmann C. 7. Seol Young-Woo 4. Massengo H. 32. Rieder F. (C) 16. Behrens H. 19. Fellhauer R. 21. Ibrahimovic A. 9. Ribeiro R.	1. Neuer M. (C) 44. Stanisic J. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 19. Davies A. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 34. Saibari I. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.
Substitutes
6. Gouweleeuw J. 11. Gregoritsch M. 30. Kade A. 14. Keitel Y. 10. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 39. Ogundu U. 37. Schnitzer T. 8. Suso S.	8. Bischof T. 23. Boey S. 11. Brown N. 7. Gnabry S. 21. Ito H. 42. Karl L. 3. Kim Min-Jae 39. Sapoko Ndiaye B. 40. Urbig J. (G)
Coaches
Baum M.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Fellhauer R. ⚽,
42', Matsima C. 🟨,
43', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Saibari I. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
62', Seol Young-Woo ↓, Kade A. ↑,
63', Behrens H. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Ribeiro R. ⚽,
68', Stanisic J. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
68', Saibari I. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
75', Ribeiro R. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Brown N. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
82', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
82', Bah J. ↓, Gouweleeuw J. ↑,
87', Pavlovic A. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
87', Diaz L. ↓, Karl L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1.

Augsburg has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bayern is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bayern could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bayern holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Augsburg: Banks N. (Knee Injury) Breithaupt T. (Toe Injury) Mounie S. (Injury) Suso S. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Bayern: Buchmann T. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Augsburg has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:55 (averaging 1.2:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Augsburg against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with 15:25 goals (averaging 1.5:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	25:6	19	17
9	Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	4	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 83.49% Augsburg: 0.29%

Last Results with these Odds

Bayern Munich - the odds 1.22 are the expected chance of winning is 77.62%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Augsburg - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Augsburg - Schalke 04	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLTWW
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
18.09.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	7:0 ✺
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Bayern Munich - Bodø Glimt	5:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Schalke 04 - Bayern Munich	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.09.26	Osnabrück - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	1:2
30.08.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3
04.04.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	1:3
22.11.24	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	3:0
27.01.24	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3
27.08.23	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	3:1
11.03.23	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	5:3

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