Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Thomsen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Elversberg		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.75
	1.61	4	4.8
	1.6	4.1	4.6
	1.62	3.95	4.8
	1.65	4.43	4.84
	1.57	3.75	4.8
	1.6	4.2	4.85	Watch
	1.59	3.85	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)	4.04 ↓ (4.12)	4.77 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
57.7%

Draw
22.9%

Borussia Dortmund II
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

22.7%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Borussia Dortmund II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The ML Model estimate for Elversberg aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	13.3%	26.7%

Elversberg - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Elversberg is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Elversberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
29.10.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Elversberg - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.10.22	Elversberg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.10.22	Viktoria Köln - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Elversberg - Duisburg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWW
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
29.10.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Verl	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Meppen - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
10.10.22	Hallescher - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.05.14	Borussia Dortmund II - Elversberg	3:0
07.12.13	Elversberg - Borussia Dortmund II	0:5

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