Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Sparkassen-Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Greif S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Erzgebirge Aue		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.9
	3.5	3.6	1.95
	3.4	3.7	1.9
	3.5	3.7	1.9
	3.71	3.95	1.95
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.58	3.74	1.91	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.18)	3.65 ↓ (3.68)	1.93 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
26.5%

Draw
25.4%

Elversberg
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

24.8%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Erzgebirge Aue - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Elversberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Elversberg have a series of home games.

Elversberg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
23.10.22	Verl - Erzgebirge Aue	3:2 ✺
14.10.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Oldenburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:3 ✺
30.09.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Meppen	3:0 ✺
16.09.22	1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWWL
- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
22.10.22	Elversberg - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.10.22	Elversberg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.10.22	Viktoria Köln - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Elversberg - Duisburg	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Elversberg - Verl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL

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