Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)


	Notts County		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.8	7.25
	1.35	5	7
	1.3	4.9	7.2
	1.33	5.34	6.98
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.31	5.15	8.1	Watch
	1.31	5	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)	4.91 ↑ (4)	7.28 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
68.9%

Draw
18.6%

Coalville Town
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

21.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.

Coalville Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coalville Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Notts County - Coalville Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Coalville will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Notts County is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coalville in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Coalville have a series of home games.

In this match Notts County is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Notts County to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Notts County won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English National League
08.10.22	Woking - Notts County	2:3 ✺
04.10.22	Notts County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Notts County - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
24.09.22	York City - Notts County	1:3 ✺
17.09.22	Dorking Wanderers - Notts County	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.10.22	Coalville Town - Redditch United	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Coalville Town - Ilkeston	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Coalville Town - Sudbury Town	3:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
27.09.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Coalville Town	0:7 ✺
24.09.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.07.21	Coalville Town - Notts County	0:2

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