Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	Gol Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.70	3.20	Watch
	2.05	3.60	3.10
	1.97	3.80	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.90	3.15
	2.1	3.78	3.1	Watch
	2.12	3.85	3.10
	2.12	3.86	3.16	Watch
	2.12	3.75	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.06)	3.78 (3.78)	3.15 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
45.2%

Draw
24.9%

Beijing Guoan
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 4. He Yiran 22. Li Y. 28. Sorokin E. 2. Hu H. 11. Wellington Silva 39. Gan Chao 5. Matheus Jussa 7. Wei Shihao (C) 27. Abduweli Behram 9. Felipe Silva	34. Hou Sen (G) 21. Yue Tze-Nam 25. Spajic U. 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 17. Yang Liyu 23. Dawhan 8. Konte A. 47. Deng Jiefu 29. Abreu F. (C) 9. Zhang Yuning
Substitutes
19. Dong Y. 6. Feng Zhuoyi 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 3. Jojo A. C. 58. Liao Rongxiang 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 15. Ran Weifeng (G) 10. Romulo 17. Wang Dongsheng 20. Wang Ziming	24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 37. Cao Yongjing 41. Cheng Xi 6. Chi Zhongguo 30. Fan Shuangjie 22. Han Jiaqi (G) 36. Jia Feifan 58. Jiang Z. 31. Liu S. (G) 18. Wang Yu 50. Zhang H.
Coaches
Aloisi J.	Montgomery N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Matheus Jussa ↓, Iminqari M. ↑,
46', Spajic U. ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
46', Deng Jiefu ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Zhang Yuning ⚽, Abreu F. (A),
59', Li Y. 🟨,
62', Abduweli Behram ↓, Romulo ↑,
64', Yang Liyu ↓, Jia Feifan ↑,
67', Chi Zhongguo ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Zhang Yuning ⚽, Jia Feifan (A),
76', Felipe Silva 🟨,
76', Abreu F. 🟨,
78', Li Y. ↓, Dong Y. ↑,
78', Gan Chao ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
81', Jia Feifan 🟨,
81', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑,
83', He Yiran ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Felipe Silva ⚽, Wellington Silva (A),
90+3', 2 - 2, Sorokin E. ⚽, Wei Shihao (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 2.

In recent matches, Chengdu Rongcheng has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Beijing Guoan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Chengdu Rongcheng has had a series of away games.

Chengdu Rongcheng is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Chengdu Rongcheng: Yang Ming-Yang (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Dudziak J. (Inactive) Spajic U. (Knee Injury) Wang Gang (Injury) Zhang Xizhe (Injury)

There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Wu Shaocong (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chengdu Rongcheng won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	51:30	21	52
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	4:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
17.07.26	Qingdao West Coast - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTTTW
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Dalian Kewei - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.07.26	Beijing Guoan - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
12.04.26	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2
26.07.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	2:0
29.03.25	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1
14.09.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	2:2
05.05.24	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:1
29.10.23	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3
03.07.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	0:1

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