Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 35

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale Bellinzona (Bellinzona)

Referee: Huwiler D. (Sui)


	Bellinzona		Sion

	1	X	2
	7.75	4.8	1.29
	9	5	1.3	Watch
	9.31	5.27	1.31
	9.31	5.27	1.32
	8.5	4.8	1.29
	8.55	5.05	1.31	Watch
	7.6	4.9	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.57 ↑ (6.39)	5.01 ↑ (4.24)	1.3 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bellinzona
10.8%

Draw
18.4%

Sion
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21.9%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

23.9%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sion than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Bellinzona - Sion Predictions

Users Predictions: Sion will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Iacobucci A. (G) 2. Lamy H. 3. Rodrigues M. 34. Sauter I. 91. Mihajlovic D. (C) 37. Sorensen A. 20. Seiler S. 10. Chacon T. 8. Centinaro T. 19. Samba T. 99. Pollero R.	16. Fayulu T. (G) 14. Lavanchy N. 2. Schmied J. 3. Ziegler R. (C) 20. Hefti N. 88. Kabacalman A. 8. Baltazar 52. Souza Espana C. 7. Chouaref Y. 11. Bouchlarhem T. 9. Sorgic D.
Substitutes
23. Alounga Y. 25. Dieye M. 17. Dixon F. 96. Dujaka G. 47. Miranda S. 21. Neelakandan R. 22. Pugliese V. 30. Trochen E. 71. Vishi L.	23. Berdayes T. 35. Chipperfield L. 4. Diouf G. 17. Kronig J. 71. Richard G. 30. Rusev G. 12. Safarikas A. (G)
Coaches
Benavente M.	Tholot D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Sorgic D. ⚽, Kabacalman A. (A),
32', Bouchlarhem T. 🟨,
44', Sorgic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Centinaro T. ↓, Vishi L. ↑,
46', Sorensen A. 🟨,
51', 0 - 2, Sorgic D. ⚽, Hefti N. (A),
58', Chacon T. 🟨,
58', Ziegler R. (Pen),
59', Bouchlarhem T. ↓, Berdayes T. ↑,
68', Samba T. ↓, Alounga Y. ↑,
68', Seiler S. ↓, Neelakandan R. ↑,
69', Souza Espana C. ↓, Kronig J. ↑,
78', Chouaref Y. ↓, Rusev G. ↑,
78', Baltazar ↓, Chipperfield L. ↑,
80', Pollero R. ↓, Dieye M. ↑,
80', Lamy H. ↓, Dixon F. ↑,

Preview

Bellinzona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sion is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sion is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bellinzona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bellinzona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
09.05.24	Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona	1:3 ✺
03.05.24	Bellinzona - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	Aarau - Bellinzona	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Bellinzona - Schaffhausen	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Bellinzona - Baden	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWTW
- FC Sion
Swiss Challenge League
09.05.24	Aarau - Sion	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Sion - Wil 1900	4:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
27.04.24	Sion - Lugano	0:2 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
22.04.24	Thun - Sion	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Sion - Stade Nyonnais	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
03.03.24	Sion - Bellinzona	3:0
05.11.23	Bellinzona - Sion	1:2
04.08.23	Sion - Bellinzona	1:0

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