Match Info

Challenge League - Round 35

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale Bellinzona (Bellinzona)

Referee: Kanagasingam A. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4


	Bellinzona		Thun

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.3	3.65	1.99
	3.42	3.78	2.02
	3.38	3.68	2.01	Watch
	3	3.3	2.15
	3.36	3.6	1.97	Watch
	3.3	3.65	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	2.01 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bellinzona
28.3%

Draw
25.7%

Thun
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

27%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

26.3%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bellinzona - Thun Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Enzler S. (G) 27. Krasniqi J. 24. Gorga S. 34. Sauter I. 91. Mihajlovic D. (C) 88. Lusuena N. 10. Chacon T. 25. Nkama J. 66. Matondo H. 70. Souza Espana C. 33. Nivokazi R.	24. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 17. Balaruban A. 6. Bertone L. (C) 70. Reichmuth N. 8. Janjicic V. 77. Meichtry F. 74. Rastoder E. 18. Ibayi C.
Substitutes
19. Chouik I. 77. Da Silva N. 30. De Jesus Sousa M. 14. Gloor F. 26. L'Ghoul N. 44. Lymann F. 80. Perrault T. 11. Rossi N. 21. Trochen E. (G)	23. Burki M. 7. Castroman M. 5. Franke D. 29. Frith D. 33. Gutbub M. 16. Roth J. 46. Sessolo H. 9. Tebily H. 1. Ziswiler N. (G)
Coaches
Sannino G.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Nivokazi R. ⚽, Souza Espana C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, Souza Espana C. ⚽, Nivokazi R. (A),
60', Balaruban A. ↓, Franke D. ↑,
61', Balaruban A. ↓, Franke D. ↑,
61', Bertone L. ↓, Castroman M. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Nivokazi R. ⚽, Mihajlovic D. (A),
66', Matondo H. 🟨,
68', 3 - 1, Bamert J. ⚽,
71', Meichtry F. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
71', Chacon T. ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
74', Souza Espana C. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
79', Matondo H. ↓, Perrault T. ↑,
81', Reichmuth N. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
89', Lusuena N. ↓, Lymann F. ↑,
90+3', Mihajlovic D. 🟨,

Preview

Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super League

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.

Bellinzona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Thun is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Thun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bellinzona: Chukwuemeka C. (Injury) Diarra I. (Injury) Sabbatini J. (Yellow Cards) Sangare M. (Injury) Sauter I. (Yellow Cards) Sorensen A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Thun: Burki M. (Inactive) Matoshi V. (Shoulder Injury) Tomas M. (Arm Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
09.05.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Bellinzona - Neuchâtel Xamax	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Wil 1900 - Bellinzona	2:2 ✺
18.04.25	Bellinzona - Stade Nyonnais	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Bellinzona - Vaduz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTWW
- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
11.05.25	Vaduz - Thun	3:3 ✺
02.05.25	Thun - Aarau	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Thun - Wil 1900	7:0 ✺
11.04.25	Stade Nyonnais - Thun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
09.02.25	Thun - Bellinzona	2:0
04.10.24	Bellinzona - Thun	0:0
20.09.24	Thun - Bellinzona	1:2
13.04.24	Thun - Bellinzona	1:0
27.01.24	Bellinzona - Thun	0:0
13.12.23	Thun - Bellinzona	3:1
25.08.23	Bellinzona - Thun	0:3

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