Match Info

Challenge League - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Colovray Sports Centre (Nyon)

Referee: Turkes M. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2


	Stade Nyonnais		Thun

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.65
	4.2	3.85	1.72
	4.51	3.93	1.7	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.73
	4.55	3.85	1.66	Watch
	4.2	3.85	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↓ (4.5)	3.78 ↓ (3.95)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Nyonnais
21.3%

Draw
24.4%

Thun
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

23.5%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.5%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Nyonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stade Nyonnais - Thun Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Nyonnais (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Thun (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Thun will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Mastil M. (G) 72. Ouattara A. 28. Sylvestre Brac J. 26. Busset R. 24. Sawadogo M. 5. Gaillard Q. (C) 14. Silva 22. Gazzetta L. 77. Escorza T. 32. Ghia J. 9. Kore F.	24. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 47. Fehr F. 6. Bertone L. (C) 70. Reichmuth N. 8. Janjicic V. 11. Stewart L. 29. Frith D. 74. Rastoder E.
Substitutes
8. Bega L. 3. Correia R. 25. Ndongo R. 6. Okuka M. 21. Papavasiliou P. (G) 11. Pasche E. 4. Strohbach I. 27. Traore S. 80. Weber P.	7. Castroman M. 5. Franke D. 33. Gutbub M. 18. Ibayi C. 25. Marcolli L. 77. Meichtry F. 16. Roth J. 46. Sessolo H. 1. Ziswiler N. (G)
Coaches
Binotto A.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Reichmuth N. 🟨,
37', Frith D. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen),
45', Escorza T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Frith D. ↓, Castroman M. ↑,
46', Gazzetta L. ↓, Ndongo R. ↑,
46', Kore F. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
61', Silva ↓, Pasche E. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Rastoder E. (A),
68', Reichmuth N. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
72', Stewart L. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
72', Rastoder E. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
82', Janjicic V. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
83', Escorza T. ↓, Weber P. ↑,
83', Gaillard Q. ↓, Okuka M. ↑,
86', Weber P. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stade Nyonnais won 0.

Stade Nyonnais is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Thun is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Thun is a favorite.

There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Busset R. (Inactive) De P. A. (Injury) Diomande B. (Injury) Richard G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Thun: Balaruban A. (Muscle Injury) Matoshi V. (Shoulder Injury) Tebily H. (Injury) Tomas M. (Arm Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Stade Nyonnais won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:30 (average 1:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Stade Nyonnais won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:12 (average 1:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League
04.04.25	Stade Nyonnais - Wil 1900	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.25	Sion - Stade Nyonnais	1:0 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
16.03.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL
- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
04.04.25	Thun - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Thun	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:2 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
14.03.25	Étoile Carouge - Thun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
28.02.25	Thun - Stade Nyonnais	2:2
01.11.24	Stade Nyonnais - Thun	1:6
25.08.24	Thun - Stade Nyonnais	4:2
Club Friendly
25.06.24	Thun - Stade Nyonnais	3:0
Swiss Challenge League
27.04.24	Stade Nyonnais - Thun	0:0
02.02.24	Thun - Stade Nyonnais	4:1
24.11.23	Stade Nyonnais - Thun	3:2

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