Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Benevento		Como

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.75
	2.65	3	2.85
	2.65	3	2.75
	2.79	3.08	2.86
	2.62	3	2.8
	2.67	3.08	2.8	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.7)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.79 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
35.5%

Draw
30.8%

Como
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	60.9%	8.7%

Benevento - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Como will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 60.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Benevento has the most likely position - 18 (19.02%), has project points - 40, has currently - 28, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Como has the most likely position - 11 (12.25%), has project points - 48, has currently - 35, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 31, importance 42, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Benevento is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Como is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.03.23	Ternana - Benevento	2:2 ✺
01.03.23	Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Ascoli - Benevento	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Benevento - Brescia	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Cagliari - Benevento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTWL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
05.03.23	Como - Modena	1:0 ✺
01.03.23	Perugia - Como	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Como - Nuova Cosenza	5:1 ✺
18.02.23	SPAL - Como	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.10.22	Como - Benevento	2:1
23.02.22	Benevento - Como	5:0
25.09.21	Como - Benevento	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
16.05.15	Benevento - Como	1:2

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