The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benevento 47.2%
Draw 29.7%
Brescia 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
31.3%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
29.8%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.
Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brescia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
13.3%
20%
Benevento - Brescia Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Brescia will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 42.8% โ 90.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
Benevento has the most likely position - 19 (15.43%), has project points - 41, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Brescia has the most likely position - 19 (19.96%), has project points - 40, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality27, importance65, match rating46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1.
In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.
Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
Italy
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