Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 16

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Como		Modena

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.15	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.24	3.1	3.88
	2.24	3.08	3.88
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.18	2.9	3.86	Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.11)	3.1 ↓ (3.31)	3.63 (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
43.5%

Draw
30.5%

Modena
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Modena aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	50%	7.1%

Como - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Modena will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Barba F. 3. Sala M. 28. Abildgaard O. 14. Bellemo A. 20. Kerrigan L. 90. Verdi S. 33. Da Cunha L. 10. Cutrone P.	26. Gagno R. (G) 3. Ponsi F. 19. Zaro G. 4. Pergreffi A. 29. Cotali M. 6. Magnino L. 5. Palumbo A. 7. Duca E. 17. Manconi J. 10. Tremolada L. 11. Falcinelli D.
Substitutes
21. Arrigoni T. 11. Blanco A. 84. Cassandro T. 27. Cerri A. 7. Chajia M. 17. Chinetti F. 9. Gabrielloni A. 32. Rispoli F. 4. Solini M. 80. Vignali L. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	90. Abiuso F. 23. Battistella T. 9. Bonfanti N. 30. Bozhanaj K. 20. Gargiulo M. 21. Giovannini R. 8. Guiebre A. 42. Mondele L. 96. Oukhadda S. 27. Riccio A. 32. Strizzolo L. 22. Vandelli F. (G)
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Bianco P.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Como could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Como will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Como won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
03.12.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	0:1 ✺
28.11.23	Como - Lecco	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Como - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ascoli - Como	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Pisa - Como	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWT
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
02.12.23	Modena - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Parma - Modena	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Modena - Sampdoria	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Catanzaro - Modena	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Modena - Ternana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.03.23	Como - Modena	1:0
15.10.22	Modena - Como	5:1
19.03.16	Modena - Como	1:2
31.10.15	Como - Modena	1:1

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