Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27

Date: 1 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport


	Perugia		Como

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	3	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.87
	2.55	3.05	2.88
	2.67	3.05	3.07
	2.64	2.94	2.95	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.27)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.95 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
36.9%

Draw
30.9%

Como
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	34.8%	8.7%

Perugia - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Como will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 14).

Perugia has the most likely position - 16 (11.21%), has project points - 46, has currently - 29, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Como has the most likely position - 15 (10.91%), has project points - 46, has currently - 31, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, importance 40, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Perugia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.02.23	Pisa - Perugia	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Perugia - Ternana	3:0 ✺
11.02.23	Ascoli - Perugia	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Perugia - Brescia	4:0 ✺
28.01.23	Bari - Perugia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWLWW
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
25.02.23	Como - Nuova Cosenza	5:1 ✺
18.02.23	SPAL - Como	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Como - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
28.01.23	Brescia - Como	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.10.22	Como - Perugia	1:0
20.03.22	Perugia - Como	0:1
06.11.21	Como - Perugia	4:1
Italian Super Cup Serie C
08.05.21	Perugia - Como	2:1
Italian Serie B
16.01.16	Como - Perugia	1:0
06.09.15	Perugia - Como	2:0

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