Match Info

Date: 1 March 2022, Tuesday


	Benevento		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.25	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.4
	2.35	2.95	3.35	Watch
	2.42	2.9	3.05
	2.5	3.02	3.38
	2.25	3	3.5
	2.44	3	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.27)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
39.6%

Draw
31.9%

Cremonese
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

20.8%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cremonese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Benevento - Cremonese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Benevento has the most likely position - 3 (16.52%), has project points - 66, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (67%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Cremonese has the most likely position - 1 (32.64%), has project points - 70, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a good chance of promoted (66%), has a chance of win league (33%).

This event has quality 42, very big importance 96, match rating 69. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Benevento won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.02.22	Perugia - Benevento	0:1 ✺
23.02.22	Benevento - Como	5:0 ✺
20.02.22	Cittadella - Benevento	0:1 ✺
16.02.22	Benevento - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
13.02.22	Lecce - Benevento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWLT
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
26.02.22	Ternana - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
22.02.22	Cremonese - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Perugia - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
15.02.22	Cremonese - Parma	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Cittadella - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.10.21	Cremonese - Benevento	1:1
21.06.20	Cremonese - Benevento	0:1
30.10.19	Benevento - Cremonese	2:0
10.03.19	Cremonese - Benevento	1:0
27.10.18	Benevento - Cremonese	2:1

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