Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 36

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cittadella		Benevento

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	4	Watch
	2	3.1	4
	1.95	3.1	4.2
	2.1	3.17	4.22
	2.02	3.08	4.2	Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.06)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	4.08 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
46.4%

Draw
30.4%

Benevento
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

30.5%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

30.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	23.5%	5.9%

Cittadella - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Benevento will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Cittadella has the most likely position - 15 (37.98%), project points - 42, currently - 38, a chance of relegated (30%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Benevento has the most likely position - 20 (76.88%), project points - 35, currently - 32, a very good chance of relegated (97%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 26, importance 64, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Cittadella is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 12-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
01.05.23	Bari - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Cittadella - Genoa	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Cittadella - Parma	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Modena - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTLT
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.05.23	Benevento - Parma	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Palermo - Benevento	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Benevento - Reggina	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Benevento - SPAL	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Bari - Benevento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
11.12.22	Benevento - Cittadella	1:0
20.02.22	Cittadella - Benevento	0:1
21.09.21	Benevento - Cittadella	4:1
25.01.20	Cittadella - Benevento	1:2
31.08.19	Benevento - Cittadella	4:1
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Benevento - Cittadella	2:0
Italian Serie B
25.05.19	Benevento - Cittadella	0:3

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