Match Info

Date: 15 December 2020, Tuesday


	Benevento		Lazio

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.8	1.8
	4.2	3.75	1.84	Watch
	4.1	3.85	1.8
	4.35	3.81	1.88
	4.33	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (4.93)	3.76 ↓ (3.96)	1.84 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
22.5%

Draw
25.4%

Lazio
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

24%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

15.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lazio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.6%	8.2%	84.1%

Benevento - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (143 of 170 users predict this - 84.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.63% – 89.61%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 9).

Benevento has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lazio has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Benevento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lazio is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie A
11.12.20	Sassuolo - Benevento	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Parma - Benevento	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Benevento - Juventus	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Fiorentina - Benevento	0:1 ✺
07.11.20	Benevento - Spezia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LTTWL
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
12.12.20	Lazio - Verona	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.12.20	Lazio - Club Brugge	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.12.20	Spezia - Lazio	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.12.20	Borussia Dortmund - Lazio	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.20	Lazio - Udinese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.09.20	Lazio - Benevento	0:0
Italian Serie A
31.03.18	Lazio - Benevento	6:2
29.10.17	Benevento - Lazio	1:5

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