Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Benevento		Spezia

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.3
	2.08	3.55	3.45	Watch
	2.07	3.6	3.35
	2.12	3.7	3.55
	2.1	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.12	3.7	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.98)	3.61 ↓ (3.71)	3.43 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
45.6%

Draw
26.5%

Spezia
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

20.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.5%	17.1%	18.4%

Benevento - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 49 - 64.5%). Spezia will win (votes: 14 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 53.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17).

Benevento has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Spezia has a chance of relegated (47%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benevento is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spezia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Benevento won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie A
02.11.20	Verona - Benevento	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Benevento - Empoli	2:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.10.20	Benevento - Napoli	1:2 ✺
18.10.20	Roma - Benevento	5:2 ✺
04.10.20	Benevento - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie A
01.11.20	Spezia - Juventus	1:4 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Cittadella - Spezia	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.10.20	Parma - Spezia	2:2 ✺
18.10.20	Spezia - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
04.10.20	Milan - Spezia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.02.20	Benevento - Spezia	3:1
05.10.19	Spezia - Benevento	0:1
16.03.19	Benevento - Spezia	2:3
18.11.18	Spezia - Benevento	3:1
23.05.17	Benevento - Spezia	2:1
01.04.17	Spezia - Benevento	1:3
29.10.16	Benevento - Spezia	1:0

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