The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Borussia Dortmund 48.6%
Draw 26.7%
Lazio 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.5%
22%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.8%
18%
15.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Dortmund's form might have worsened.
Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lazio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+24.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lazio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.9%
14.8%
17.3%
Borussia Dortmund - Lazio Predictions
Users Predictions:
162 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 110 - 67.9%). Lazio will win (votes: 28 - 17.3%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 14.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 60.7% โ 75.1%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Borussia D has a very good chance of round of 16 (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (58%), has a chance of semis (29%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Lazio has a good chance of round of 16 (85%), has a chance of qtrs (18%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Borussia D could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.