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Current Win Probability
Spezia 20.7%
Draw 27.1%
Lazio 52.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.8%
27%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
28.3%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.4%
8.6%
84%
Spezia - Lazio Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lazio will win
(68 of 81 users predict this - 83.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.96% โ 91.94%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).
Spezia has the most likely position - 17 (32.7%), project points - 35, currently - 26, a chance of relegated (24%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
Lazio has the most likely position - 2 (47.79%), project points - 71, currently - 58, not chance of relegated, a good chance of qualify for ucl (88%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality56, importance47, match rating52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 0.
Recent matches Spezia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lazio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Lazio is a favorite.
There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S.
(Yellow Cards)
Caldara M.
(Injury)
Holm E.
(Injury)
Kovalenko V.
(Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Zovko P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Spezia: Agudelo K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Lazio: Fares M.
(Injury)
Gila M.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
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