Match Info

Date: 11 December 2020, Friday


	Sassuolo		Benevento

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.7	4.2	4.5
	1.7	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.6
	1.69	4.3	4.93
	1.7	4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	4.25	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)	4.19 ↓ (4.34)	4.71 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
56.9%

Draw
22.8%

Benevento
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

21.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Benevento have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sassuolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.7%	9.1%	10.2%

Sassuolo - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (151 of 187 users predict this - 80.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.1% – 86.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Europa League (Group Stage) and 13).

Sassuolo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benevento has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
06.12.20	Roma - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
22.11.20	Verona - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
06.11.20	Sassuolo - Udinese	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Napoli - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TLWTW
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie A
06.12.20	Parma - Benevento	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Benevento - Juventus	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Fiorentina - Benevento	0:1 ✺
07.11.20	Benevento - Spezia	0:3 ✺
02.11.20	Verona - Benevento	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.04.18	Sassuolo - Benevento	2:2
19.11.17	Benevento - Sassuolo	1:2

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