Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 33

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Benevento		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.6	2.9	2.9
	2.67	3.04	3.08
	2.55	3.13	2.9	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.75)	3.05 ↑ (3)	2.91 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
36.5%

Draw
30.9%

Reggina
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.1%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

30.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Benevento - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Reggina will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Benevento has the most likely position - 20 (49.94%), project points - 36, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (93%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 7 (21.81%), project points - 55, currently - 48, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (81%), a very small chance of promoted (4%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 27, small importance 22, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 4.

Benevento is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Reggio Calabria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Benevento won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.04.23	Benevento - SPAL	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Bari - Benevento	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Pisa - Benevento	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Benevento - Como	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Ternana - Benevento	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
10.04.23	Reggina - Venezia	1:0 ✺
05.04.23	Perugia - Reggina	1:3 ✺
31.03.23	Genoa - Reggina	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Reggina - Cagliari	0:4 ✺
04.03.23	Reggina - Parma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.11.22	Reggina - Benevento	2:2
05.04.22	Reggina - Benevento	0:3
27.11.21	Benevento - Reggina	4:0
Club Friendly
29.07.21	Benevento - Reggina	3:1
12.09.20	Benevento - Reggina	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
11.04.15	Benevento - Reggina	4:0
29.11.14	Reggina - Benevento	0:2

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