Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 30

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pisa		Benevento

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4.2
	1.95	3.15	4.3
	1.97	3.15	3.8
	1.9	3.33	4.92
	2	3.1	4
	1.85	3.34	4.6	Watch
	1.88	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.89)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	4.29 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
48.9%

Draw
29.1%

Benevento
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Pisa - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Benevento will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).

Pisa has the most likely position - 6 (17.92%), project points - 56, currently - 42, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of prom. playoffs (81%), a small chance of promoted (14%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benevento has the most likely position - 18 (18.32%), project points - 40, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (59%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 33, importance 50, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Pisa is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Pisa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
11.03.23	Modena - Pisa	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Pisa - Palermo	1:1 ✺
28.02.23	Parma - Pisa	0:1 ✺
24.02.23	Pisa - Perugia	2:1 ✺
17.02.23	Pisa - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWWT
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
11.03.23	Benevento - Como	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Ternana - Benevento	2:2 ✺
01.03.23	Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Ascoli - Benevento	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Benevento - Brescia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.10.22	Benevento - Pisa	0:0
21.05.22	Pisa - Benevento	1:0
17.05.22	Benevento - Pisa	1:0
02.04.22	Benevento - Pisa	5:1
21.11.21	Pisa - Benevento	1:0
19.01.20	Benevento - Pisa	1:1
23.08.19	Pisa - Benevento	0:0

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