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Benfica - Chelsea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday
  • Location: Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, NC)
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    InternationalInternationalSport 24
    Benfica Chelsea
    Benfica Chelsea
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 3.3 3.4 2.15 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.39 ↓
    (4.2)    		 3.42 ↓
    (3.82)    		 2.17 ↑
    (1.84)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Benfica
    28.1%    		Draw
    27.9%    		Chelsea
    44%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    22.8% 25.1% 52.1%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    22.4% 24.7% 53%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    25% 29.2% 45.8%

    Benfica - Chelsea Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 12 - 26.1%). Chelsea will win (votes: 22 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 26.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 33.4% – 62.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 10 - 31.3%). Chelsea (votes: 17 - 53.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Benfica (2.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • TQ, OT - Benfica (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 55.6%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Chelsea (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC, 1st Half - draw (1.22) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DNB - Benfica (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Benfica (1.71) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 17 - 40.5%). Chelsea (votes: 20 - 47.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. UkraineTrubin A. (G)
      8. NorwayAursnes F.
      4. PortugalSilva A.
    30. ArgentinaOtamendi N. (C)
    26. SwedenDahl S.
    61. PortugalFlorentino
    18. LuxembourgBarreiro L.
    11. ArgentinaDi Maria A.
    10. TurkeyKokcu O.
    21. NorwaySchjelderup A.
    14. GreecePavlidis V.
    		  1. SpainSanchez R. (G)
    24. EnglandJames R. (C)
      6. EnglandColwill L.
      5. FranceBadiashile B.
      3. SpainCucurella M.
    45. BelgiumLavia R.
    25. EcuadorCaicedo M.
      8. ArgentinaFernandez E.
    10. EnglandPalmer C.
      9. EnglandDelap L.
      7. PortugalNeto P.
    Substitutes
    17. TurkeyAkturkoglu K.
    81. AlbaniaBajrami A.
    19. ItalyBelotti A.
    27. PortugalBruma
      3. SpainCarreras A.
    50. PortugalFerreira D. (G)
    47. PortugalGouveia T.
    83. PortugalLuis R.
    64. PortugalOliveira G.
    25. ArgentinaPrestianni G.
    86. PortugalPrioste D.
    84. PortugalRego J.
    71. PortugalSantos L.
    68. PortugalVeloso J.
    66. USAWynder J.
    		34. EnglandAcheampong J.
      4. EnglandAdarabioyo T.
    17. BrazilAndrey Santos
    30. ArgentinaAnselmino A.
    23. EnglandChalobah T.
    22. EnglandDewsbury-Hall K.
    14. PortugalEssugo D.
    32. EnglandGeorge T.
    38. SpainGuiu M.
    27. FranceGusto M.
    11. EnglandMadueke N.
    18. FranceNkunku C.
    39. BelgiumPenders M. (G)
    19. FranceSarr M.
    44. USASlonina G. (G)
    Coaches
         PortugalLage B.
    		     ItalyMaresca E.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 46', Schjelderup A. ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
    • 50', Pavlidis V. 🟨,
    • 61', Caicedo M. 🟨,
    • 63', Florentino 🟨,
    • 64', 0 - 1, James R. ⚽,
    • 69', Badiashile B. ↓, Adarabioyo T. ↑,
    • 70', Pavlidis V. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
    • 70', Florentino ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
    • 80', Delap L. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
    • 80', Fernandez E. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
    • 80', James R. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
    • 82', Kokcu O. 🟨,
    • 86', Aursnes F. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
    • 86', Kokcu O. ↓, Veloso J. ↑,
    • 87', Lavia R. ↓, Chalobah T. ↑,
    • 90+4', Silva A. 🟨,
    • 90+5', 1 - 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
    • 90+6', Prestianni G. 🟨,
    • Extra Time (0 - 3)
    • 92', Prestianni G. 🟨,
    • 92', Palmer C. 🟨,
    • 102', Colwill L. 🟨,
    • 108', 1 - 2, Nkunku C. ⚽,
    • 115', 1 - 3, Neto P. ⚽, Caicedo M. (A),
    • 117', 1 - 4, Dewsbury-Hall K. ⚽, Palmer C. (A),
    • 118', Colwill L. ↓, Anselmino A. ↑,
    • 120+2', Gouveia T. 🟨,

    Preview

  • In recent matches, Benfica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Chelsea is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
  • Chelsea could have a small edge in this match.
  • There will not play in Benfica: Araujo T. (Injury) Bah A. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Chelsea: Castledine L. (Back Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Jackson N. (Red Card) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
  • There are questionable in Benfica: Sanches R. (Injury)
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - SL Benfica
    FIFA Club World Cup
    24.06.25 Benfica - Bayern Munich 1:0 ✺
    20.06.25 Benfica - Auckland City 6:0 ✺
    16.06.25 Boca Juniors - Benfica 2:2 ✺
    Taça de Portugal
    25.05.25 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:3 ET ✺
    Liga Portugal
    17.05.25 Braga - Benfica 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3
    WWTLT
    - Chelsea
    FIFA Club World Cup
    24.06.25 Espérance ST - Chelsea 0:3 ✺
    20.06.25 Flamengo - Chelsea 3:1 ✺
    16.06.25 Chelsea - Los Angeles 2:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    28.05.25 Betis - Chelsea 1:4 ✺
    English Premier League
    25.05.25 Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6
    WLWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Europa League
    15.05.13 Benfica - Chelsea 1:2
    UEFA Champions League
    04.04.12 Chelsea - Benfica 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - SL Benfica
    Liga Portugal
    26.10.26 Santa Clara - Benfica ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    22.10.26 Omonia - Benfica ✺
    - Chelsea
    English Premier League
    24.10.26 Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur ✺

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