Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Benfica		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	3.8
	1.67	3.95	3.9
	1.72	3.7	3.7
	1.77	3.83	4.07
	1.78	3.3	4
	1.79	3.72	4.15	Watch
	1.76	3.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.51)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	3.95 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
52.4%

Draw
24.5%

Sevilla
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

25.8%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

24.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica's form might have worsened.

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sevilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sevilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	18.7%	18.7%

Benfica - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Sevilla will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Sevilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sevilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Benfica is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Portuguese League Cup
26.11.22	Benfica - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	2:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.11.22	Benfica - Gil Vicente	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.11.22	Estoril Praia - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.11.22	Estoril Praia - Benfica	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- Sevilla FC
Club Friendly
07.12.22	Sevilla - Monaco	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Velarde - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.22	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Betis - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.11.22	Manchester City - Sevilla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.18	Sevilla - Benfica	0:1
UEFA Europa League
14.05.14	Sevilla - Benfica	1:0 penalties

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