Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA SUPER CUP - FINAL

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore Sport
Luxembourg	Club RTL
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4


	Manchester City		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.39	4.75	8.25
	1.38	4.75	9
	1.4	4.86	9.02
	1.25	4.75	8
	1.42	5.3	9.2
	1.41	4.9	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	4.87 ↓ (5.11)	8.4 ↑ (8.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Super Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: UNIVISION (KDTV-San Francisco-Oak-San Jose)

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
69.1%

Draw
19.6%

Sevilla
11.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70%

18.5%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	4.2%	4.2%

Manchester City - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (110 of 120 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.73% – 96.61%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 25. Akanji M. 24. Gvardiol J. 6. Ake N. 8. Kovacic M. 16. Rodri 80. Palmer C. 47. Foden P. 10. Grealish J. 9. Haaland E.	13. Bono (G) 16. Navas J. (C) 22. Bade L. 6. Gudelj N. 19. Acuna M. 8. Jordan J. 10. Rakitic I. 5. Ocampos L. 21. Torres O. 17. Lamela E. 15. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez J. 52. Bobb O. 33. Carson S. (G) 3. Dias R. 21. Gomez S. 14. Laporte A. 82. Lewis R. 87. McAtee J. 18. Ortega S. (G) 32. Perrone M. 4. Phillips K. 5. Stones J.	28. Bueno M. 11. Corona J. 1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 2. Gattoni F. 9. Mir R. 4. Montiel G. 24. Papu Gomez 3. Pedrosa A. 27. Salas K. 26. Sanchez J. 18. Sow D. 7. Suso
Coaches
Guardiola P.	Mendilibar J. L.

Preview

Neutral location - Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Man City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Man City is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Man City: De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Dias R. (Concussion) Silva B. (Injury) Stones J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Fernando (Illness) Januzaj A. (Coach's decision) Marcao (Muscle Injury) Nianzou T. (Knee Injury) Vacas A. P. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Man City won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Man City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
11.08.23	Burnley - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
English FA Community Shield
06.08.23	Manchester City - Arsenal	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.23	Manchester City - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
26.07.23	Bayern Munich - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Manchester City	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
11.08.23	Sevilla - Valencia	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
02.08.23	Sevilla - Betis	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Crystal Palace - Sevilla	1:2 penalties ✺
23.07.23	Magdeburg - Sevilla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
02.11.22	Manchester City - Sevilla	3:1
06.09.22	Sevilla - Manchester City	0:4
03.11.15	Sevilla - Manchester City	1:3
21.10.15	Manchester City - Sevilla	2:1

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