The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica 65.7%
Draw 20.5%
Spartak Moscow 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.6%
21.3%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76.5%
18%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.8%
6.2%
8.9%
Benfica - Spartak Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
Benfica will win
(95 of 112 users predict this - 84.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.17% – 91.47%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.
Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Spartak M is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Benfica is certain favorite.
In this match Benfica is absolute favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Benfica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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