Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Samara Arena (Samara)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 9


	Krylya Sovetov		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	5.31	4.43	1.63
	5.25	4.35	1.59
	5.01	4.21	1.66	Watch
	4.60	3.95	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (4.98)	4.24 ↑ (4.2)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krylya Sovetov
18.8%

Draw
22.4%

Spartak Moscow
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.2%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

23%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-1%)

Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Kokarev N. (G) 15. Rasskazov N. 23. Chernov N. 47. Bozhin S. 2. Pechenin K. 22. Fernando Costanza (C) 4. Gorshkov Y. 14. Saltykov N. 8. Vityugov M. 10. Kramaric M. 11. Rahmanovic A.	98. Maksimenko A. (G) 83. Fernandes G. 3. Wooh C. 6. Babic S. 47. Zobnin R. (C) 68. Litvinov R. 18. Umyarov N. 7. Solari P. 5. Barco E. 10. Marquinhos 9. Ugalde M.
Substitutes
97. Akhmetov I. 7. Banjac M. 72. Fernandez D. 39. Frolov E. (G) 3. Galdames T. 18. Lepskii I. 77. Makarov D. 26. Marin J. 67. Mukailov K. 5. Oroz D. 73. Shitov V. 20. Stolbov K.	19. Daku M. 97. Denisov D. 27. Dmitriev I. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 24. Massalyga N. 33. Parada V. 62. Polekh P. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 25. Prutsev D. 17. Saus V. 40. Sorokin I.
Coaches
Bulatov S.	Carcedo J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Maksimenko A. 🟥,
26', Marquinhos ↓, Pomazun I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Rahmanovic A. 🟨,
60', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Makarov D. ↑,
60', Saltykov N. ↓, Akhmetov I. ↑,
60', Vityugov M. ↓, Shitov V. ↑,
65', Zobnin R. ↓, Denisov D. ↑,
65', Solari P. ↓, Parada V. ↑,
70', Pechenin K. ↓, Stolbov K. ↑,
78', Barco E. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
78', Babic S. ↓, Prutsev D. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Ugalde M. ⚽, Dmitriev I. (A),
83', Ugalde M. 🟨,
85', Gorshkov Y. ↓, Mukailov K. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Kramaric M. ⚽, Mukailov K. (A),
90+1', Fernandes G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Recently, Spartak M has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Spartak M is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Spartak M: Litvinov R. (Knee Injury) Zorin D. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Spartak M: Martins C. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Krylya Sovetov has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:42 (averaging 1.1:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Krylya Sovetov against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Spartak Moscow: 15.08%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Spartak Moscow	10	6	2	2	17:8	9	20
9	Krylya Sovetov	10	2	6	2	14:15	-1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Moscow - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 57.27%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Krylya Sovetov - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Krylya Sovetov	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TWTWT
- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Fakel	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
30.08.26	Spartak Moscow - Orenburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.07.26	Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	3:2
Russian Premier League
01.05.26	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow	2:1
21.09.25	Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	2:1
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	2:2
Russian Premier League
18.05.25	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow	0:2
Russian Cup
19.09.24	Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	4:1
14.08.24	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow	0:3

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