Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Mafra		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.9	2.5
	2.8	2.9	2.35
	2.95	3.1	2.46
	2.97	2.94	2.58	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.4
	2.95	3.13	2.5	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.93)	3 ↓ (3.02)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
31.7%

Draw
30.8%

Felgueiras
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

30.6%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

30.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	23.5%	47.1%

Mafra - Felgueiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Felgueiras will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Felgueiras: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraisl M. (G) 2. Texel P. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 4. Passi B. 5. Beni D. 35. Monteiro V. 80. Goncalves V. 3. Chriso (C) 9. Nibe A. 95. Rochez B. 90. Etim F.	24. Pinto B. (G) 20. Moura M. (C) 5. Rosas P. 72. Ferreira G. 29. Banguera E. 8. Landinho 42. Tavares A. 90. Santos J. 6. Moreira V. 19. Santos Teixeira L. 9. Brandao
Substitutes
60. Barros G. 16. Djabi A. 10. Fale M. 19. Iheanacho S. 17. Kolawole J. 22. Lemos F. (G) 8. Lucas Gabriel 7. Matos R. 29. Rossi R.	84. Ayiah E. 26. Berna 30. Feliz 13. Figueiredo C. (G) 95. Fonseca T. 28. Ribeiro P. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 99. Silva J. 10. Valente R.
Coaches
Alves P.	Bento A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Rochez B. ⚽, Nibe A. (A),
66', Monteiro V. ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
66', Ferreira G. 🟨,
70', Brandao ↓, Silva J. ↑,
70', Moura M. ↓, Feliz ↑,
70', Rosas P. ↓, Berna ↑,
78', Nibe A. 🟨,
79', Moreira V. ↓, Fonseca T. ↑,
79', Santos J. ↓, Ayiah E. ↑,
83', Chriso ↓, Rossi R. ↑,
83', Rochez B. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+1', Texel P. 🟨,
90+3', Ferreira G. 🟨,
90+4', Banguera E. 🟨,
90+5', Nibe A. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
90+9', Feliz 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 12).

Mafra has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Felgueiras is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mafra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Last Results with these Odds

Mafra - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.6%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.25	Leiria - Mafra	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Mafra - Porto B	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Alverca - Mafra	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Mafra - Vizela	1:4 ✺
15.02.25	Tondela - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
15.03.25	Marítimo - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Felgueiras - Leiria	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Académico de Viseu - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Felgueiras - Porto B	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Chaves - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.24	Felgueiras - Mafra	1:1

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