Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Filipe L. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Alverca		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.4
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	1.98	3.45	3.65
	1.96	3.4	3.83	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.6
	1.95	3.54	3.76	Watch
	1.98	3.45	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)	3.43 ↓ (3.49)	3.63 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
47.7%

Draw
26.9%

Benfica B
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

25.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Alverca - Benfica B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alverca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 16. Pires M. 5. Varela F. (C) 3. Alysson 22. David Bruno 88. Martins D. 40. Ageu E. 74. Shinga K. 7. Brenner 9. Carter A. 10. Andrezinho	75. Gomes A. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 76. Gustavo Marques 66. Wynder J. 78. Kiko (C) 86. Prioste D. 83. Luis R. 84. Rego J. 68. Veloso J. 54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 97. Melro J.
Substitutes
20. Bukia A. 25. Dias R. 18. Eduardo W. 89. Joao Marcos 35. Pedro Bicalho 12. Reinaldo 23. Silva P. (G) 36. Thauan Lara 6. Velazquez S.	79. Felix H. 88. Freitas T. 62. Lacroix L. 99. Luan 72. Okon-Engstler P. 91. Parente T. 92. Souza P. (G) 82. Spencer D. 89. Varela G.
Coaches
Costa V.	Verissimo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Veloso J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rego J. ↓, Luan ↑,
61', Melro J. ↓, Varela G. ↑,
61', Gouveia T. ↓, Spencer D. ↑,
61', Veloso J. ↓, Felix H. ↑,
65', Luis R. 🟨,
66', Varela F. ↓, Velazquez S. ↑,
66', Martins D. ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
68', Alysson 🟨,
72', Ageu E. 🟨,
77', Luis R. ↓, Okon-Engstler P. ↑,
84', Brenner ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
84', David Bruno ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
90+7', Carter A. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
30.03.25	Feirense - Alverca	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Alverca - Torreense	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Penafiel - Alverca	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Alverca - Mafra	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Leixões - Alverca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWT
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
31.03.25	Benfica B - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Tondela - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Benfica B - Portimonense	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Chaves - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Benfica B - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.11.24	Benfica B - Alverca	2:1

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