Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Benfica B		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.37
	2.5	3.2	2.65
	2.75	3.05	2.45
	2.9	3.05	2.44
	2.97	3.45	2.46
	2.8	3	2.55
	2.79	3.3	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.04)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	2.48 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
33.4%

Draw
29.2%

Rio Ave
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21.3%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica B's form might have worsened.

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+25.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Ave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Benfica B - Rio Ave Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 4).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Benfica B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
29.11.21	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica B	3:6 ✺
07.11.21	Benfica B - Mafra	1:3 ✺
30.10.21	Leixões - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
27.10.21	Varzim - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
23.10.21	Benfica B - Académica Coimbra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW
- Rio Ave FC
Portuguese Liga 2
28.11.21	Rio Ave - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.11.21	Rio Ave - Olhanense	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.11.21	Trofense - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
31.10.21	Rio Ave - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Penafiel - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLT

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