The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rio Ave 44.7%
Draw 28.5%
Nacional 26.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.4%
28.9%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.4%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Ave that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Rio Ave - Nacional Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Vitor Hugo (G) 20. Tome J. 5. Ntoi A. 39. Gustavo Mancha 17. Vrousai M. (C) 79. Patricio M. 54. Liavas G. 80. Clemmensen S. 19. Sellouki M. 7. Diogo Bezerra 11. Blesa J.
1. Marin R. (G) 88. Deivison 33. Goncalves C. 38. Ze Vitor (C) 21. Kokolo W. 15. Labidi C. 31. Dongmo D. 10. Daniel Junior 20. Djalo M. 12. Song Min-Kyu 29. Njoya A.
Substitutes
60. Caike 30. Galcik R. 3. Garcia S. 27. Medina T. 90. Nascimento D. 44. Nikitscher T. 23. Petrasso F. 8. Ryan Guilherme 77. Spikic D. 9. Tamble 99. van der Gouw E. (G) 70. Wenck A.
8. Baeza M. 2. de la Cruz D. I. 14. Fernandes I. 11. Gavriel S. 7. Jensen M. 13. Joao Goncalves (G) 17. Nava F. 9. Obando A. 26. Silva J.
Coaches
Seabra V.
Santos A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Njoya A. ⚽, Goncalves C. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Clemmensen S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Tome J. 🟨,
55', Tome J. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Diogo Bezerra ⚽, Clemmensen S. (A),
59', 2 - 2, Njoya A. ⚽,
63', Clemmensen S. ↓, Galcik R. ↑,
63', Patricio M. ↓, Petrasso F. ↑,
68', Daniel Junior ↓, Nava F. ↑,
68', Labidi C. ↓, Baeza M. ↑,
71', 3 - 2, Blesa J. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Blesa J. 🟨,
76', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Nascimento D. ↑,
76', Sellouki M. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
78', Blesa J. ↓, Tamble ↑,
78', Djalo M. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
81', Song Min-Kyu ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
81', Njoya A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
90+1', Galcik R. 🟨,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Rio Ave (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nacional has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Rio Ave is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Rio Ave: Abbey N.
(Inactive)
Aguilera Zamora B.
(Knee Injury)
Miszta C.
(Back Injury).
Confirmed absences for Nacional: Leo Santos
(Knee Injury)
Liziero
(Inactive)
Matheus Dias
(Red Card)
Soares F.
(Muscle Injury)
Ulisses
(Broken calfbone).
Doubtful / questionable for Rio Ave: Nascimento D.
(Inactive)
Ryan Guilherme
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:24 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rio Ave against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).
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Vitor Hugo (G) 
Tome J. 
Ntoi A. 
Clemmensen S. 
Sellouki M. 
Blesa J. 
Marin R. (G) 
Labidi C. 
Dongmo D. 
Song Min-Kyu 
Galcik R. 
Garcia S. 
Medina T. 
Nikitscher T. 
Spikic D. 
Tamble 
van der Gouw E. (G) 
Wenck A. 
de la Cruz D. I. 
Fernandes I. 
Gavriel S. 
Nava F. 
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