The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rio Ave 41.2%
Draw 28.8%
Nacional 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
28.9%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.4%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Rio Ave - Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th in the Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1.
Rio Ave is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nacional has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rio Ave holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:24 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rio Ave against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).
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