Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Trofense		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.66
	4.2	3.6	1.73
	4.3	3.5	1.7
	4.4	3.45	1.78
	4.66	3.88	1.78
	4.33	3.5	1.78
	4.5	3.6	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (2.77)	3.61 ↑ (3.03)	1.74 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
21%

Draw
25.7%

Rio Ave
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

30.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

21.2%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trofense's form might have worsened.

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+25.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trofense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-27.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Ave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trofense - Rio Ave Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 4).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rio Ave could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rio Ave is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.21	Chaves - Trofense	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Trofense - Covilhã	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Trofense - Benfica	1:2 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.21	Trofense - Nacional	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Pevidem - Trofense	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLW
- Rio Ave FC
Portuguese Liga 2
31.10.21	Rio Ave - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Penafiel - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Rio Ave - Boavista	4:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.21	Rio Ave - Vilafranquense	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Porto B - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWT

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