Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Round 14

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Estrela da Amadora U23		Benfica U23

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.9	1.55
	4.46	4.01	1.68
	5.94	4.11	1.50	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.62
	4.67	3.82	1.6	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↓ (5.94)	3.89 ↓ (4.11)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora U23
19.4%

Draw
23.5%

Benfica U23
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

22.6%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

21.9%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Benfica U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica U23 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Estrela da Amadora U23 - Benfica U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Benfica U23 will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', (Pen),
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Revelacao U23 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela U23 won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Benfica U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Benfica U23 is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Estrela U23 won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Estrela U23 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
26.11.25	Portimonense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Farense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	4:0 ✺
30.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:1 ✺
21.10.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Farense U23	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Leiria U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTLT
- Benfica U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
13.11.25	Benfica U23 - Leiria U23	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Estoril U23 - Benfica U23	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Benfica U23 - Santa Clara U23	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Farense U23 - Benfica U23	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Benfica U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
13.09.25	Benfica U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	4:1
Portuguese Taca Revelacao U23
15.05.25	Benfica U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	7:0
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
09.04.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Benfica U23	2:3
29.01.25	Benfica U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	0:0
17.12.24	Benfica U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	7:0
28.09.24	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Benfica U23	1:0
25.04.24	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Benfica U23	0:4

Estrela da Amadora U23 - Benfica U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide