Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 7

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Bentín Tacna Heroica		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.15
	2.06	3.5	3.19
	2.43	3.74	2.52	Watch
	2.03	3.62	3.03
	1.97	3.65	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.97)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	3.01 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bentín Tacna Heroica
43.8%

Draw
25.6%

Cajamarca
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

25.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

24.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bentín Tacna Heroica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Bentín Tacna Heroica - Cajamarca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pretel L. (G) 28. Chavez L. 31. Enciso S. 30. Fajardo J. 29. Garcia J. 27. Kaufman M. 34. Malpartida M. 7. Palomino K. 26. Rojas A. 22. Santillan Vargas E. M. 3. Suarez R.	3. Medina J. (G) 16. Bernaola B. 7. Casquete A. 27. Chavez D. 25. Goyoneche P. 18. Mesias Silva P. C. 20. Meza C. 29. Ocas F. 13. Sanchez A. 4. Segura J. 26. Timana H.
Substitutes
15. de la Cruz P. 13. Diaz L. 17. Flores K. 8. Lopez D. 21. Montano C. 18. Ortega F. 5. Ricra D. 2. Sainz O. 1. Sotillo M. (G)	2. Merino B. 1. Sandi M. (G) 30. Vega J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Mesias Silva P. C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
67', 🟥,
72', 🟥,
86', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tacna Heroica might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tacna Heroica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Tacna Heroica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bentín Tacna Heroica
Peruvian Liga 2
23.08.25	Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Bentín Tacna Heroica	4:2 ✺
02.08.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Cajamarca - Bentín Tacna Heroica	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Moquegua	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TLWWT
- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 2
23.08.25	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Cajamarca - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Cajamarca - Bentín Tacna Heroica	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
26.07.25	Cajamarca - Bentín Tacna Heroica	1:2
Peruvian Copa
22.12.24	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Cajamarca	2:1 penalties

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