Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Bergantiños		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.82	3.65
	2.02	3.11	3.9
	2.02	2.99	3.87	Watch
	2	2.8	3.8
	1.93	2.97	4.09
	2	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.88)	2.97 ↓ (3.16)	3.85 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
45.5%

Draw
30.8%

Marino de Luanco
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

28.6%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

28.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Marino de Luanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (-1%)

Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Basurto A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 1.

In recent matches, Bergantiños has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marino de Luanco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bergantiños might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bergantiños won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.01.26	Numancia - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sarriana - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bergantiños - Sámano	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lealtad - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWW
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.01.26	Marino de Luanco - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Langreo - Marino de Luanco	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Marino de Luanco - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Marino de Luanco - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	1:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ET
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	1:1
08.12.24	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	1:2
11.03.23	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	1:1
23.10.22	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	2:3
26.03.22	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	0:0

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