Match Info

Championship - Round 40

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Birmingham City		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.87	3.53	4.24	Watch
	1.73	3.8	5.14
	1.77	3.63	4.72	Watch
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.89	3.44	4.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.75)	3.51 ↓ (3.99)	4.37 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
51.4%

Draw
26.9%

Blackburn Rovers
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

23.7%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.3%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	26.7%	6.7%

Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Blackburn will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Beadle J. (G) 24. Iwata T. 4. Klarer C. (C) 6. Robinson J. 2. Laird E. 7. Doyle T. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 16. Roberts P. 28. Stansfield J. 17. Osman I. 33. Ducksch M.	22. Toth B. (G) 38. Atcheson T. 15. McLoughlin S. 16. Wharton S. 2. Alebiosu R. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 28. Forshaw A. 3. Pickering H. 25. Morishita R. 24. Baradji M. 23. Ohashi Y.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 27. Fujimoto K. 10. Gray D. 5. Neumann P. 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 37. Panzo J. 29. Priske A. 14. Solis Romero J. E. 23. Vicente C.	21. Afolayan O. 14. De Neve D. 29. Jorgensen M. 31. Montgomery K. 41. Mullarkey-Matthews L. 1. Pears A. (G) 27. Redmond N. 4. Ribeiro Y. 8. Tavares S.
Coaches
Davies C.	O'Neill Mi.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Forshaw A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Osman I. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
66', Ducksch M. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Cantwell T. ⚽, Morishita R. (A),
77', Morishita R. ↓, Montgomery K. ↑,
78', Roberts P. ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
78', Stansfield J. ↓, Priske A. ↑,
83', Wharton S. ↓, Ribeiro Y. ↑,
83', Cantwell T. ↓, Jorgensen M. ↑,
88', Iwata T. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
90', Baradji M. ↓, Tavares S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.

Birmingham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Blackburn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Birmingham is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Cochrane A. (Ankle Injury) Wagner K. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Garrett J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Gudjohnsen A. (Ankle Injury) Hedges R. (Ankle Injury) Kargbo A. (Hamstring Injury) Miller L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tronstad S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Birmingham: 5.84% Blackburn: 1.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Birmingham	9	3	5	1	13:11	2	14
13	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	14:13	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Birmingham City - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 54.02%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
21.03.26	Derby County - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Birmingham City - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLL
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
21.03.26	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Millwall - Blackburn Rovers	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Oxford United - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Blackburn Rovers - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Derby County - Blackburn Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
16.08.25	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City	1:2
13.02.24	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0
29.11.23	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City	4:2
01.04.23	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0
English FA Cup
31.01.23	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ET
28.01.23	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City	2:2
English League Championship
22.10.22	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City	2:1

Upcoming Matches